Supplementary materials

Supplementary data: Australia.dat, Brazil.dat, Belgium.dat, China.dat, China_smoothed.dat, Czech_Republic.dat, France.dat, Germany.dat, Greece.dat, Hong_Kong.dat, India.dat, Iran.dat, Israel.dat, Italy.dat, Japan.dat, Mexico.dat, Morocco.dat, Netherlands.dat, Nigeria.dat, Norway.dat, Philippines.dat, Portugal.dat, Russia.dat, Singapore.dat, South_Africa.dat, South_Korea.dat, Spain.dat, Sweden.dat, Switzerland.dat, Taiwan.dat, Turkey.dat, UK.dat, USA.dat

Figure S1: Comparison of the propagation of the pandemic in a selection of 32 countries.

Figure S2: Evolution of cumulative and daily death tolls per 100,000 inhabitants in China, South Korea, Italy, Spain, France (mainland) and the USA.

Figure S3: (a) Fit by an exponential law of the cumulative deaths variation in regime 2. This universal law is followed by all countries in this regime. (b) Extrapolation of the final cumulative death number expected in France, as a function of the starting date of lockdown. A similar epidemic decline as that reported in China, and a factor F = 160 compatible with 28,000 cumulative deaths, for a lockdown starting on 17 March, are assumed.

Figure S4: Fit by an exponential law of the variation with time of cumulative death tolls in Italy and France, and its extrapolation after the start of lockdown.

Figure S5: Focus on cumulative and daily deaths in French metropolitan regions.

Figure S6: Map of France and shift in days of the beginning of the epidemic exponential-growth regime 2 for the metropolitan regions in comparison with China.

Figure S7: Cumulative deaths, daily deaths, and normalized daily deaths per 100,000 inhabitants as function of date or “shifted” time for a selection of French departments in region Ile-de-France and in the East of the country.

Figure S8: Map of East of France and shift in days at the beginning of the epidemic exponential-growth regime 2 for a selection of departments, in comparison with China.

Figure S9: Variation of (a) cumulative and (b) daily death tolls in France, in regard with political measures and the last mass events.

S5 – Supplementary References

© W. Knafo, Published by EDP Sciences, 2020